"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Climate Science In Denial

I guess it is not surprising that a scientist of the international stature of Richard Lindzen  , Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, should be able to sum up the status quo in the Global Warming debate so succinctly in this article from the Wall Street Journal.  Sometimes it becomes discouraging being  a sceptic subjected to a continual barrage in the press of  Global Warming propaganda, including articles so silly you have to wonder that any editor would print them. Lindzen shines the clear light of reason into the mess , condemning the failure of the scientific bodies to do real science , rather than say to politicians we will provide "science" to back you up!

Consider a letter of April 9 to the Financial Times by the presidents of the U.S. National Academy of Science and the Royal Society (Ralph Cicerone and Martin Rees, respectively). It acknowledges that climategate has contributed to a reduced concern among the public, as has unusually cold weather. But Messrs. Cicerone and Rees insist that nothing has happened to alter the rather extreme statement that climate is changing and it is due to human action. They then throw in a very peculiar statement (referring to warming), almost in passing: “Uncertainties in the future rate of this rise, stemming largely from the ‘feedback’ effects on water vapour and clouds, are topics of current research.”

Who would guess, from this statement, that the feedback effects are the crucial question? Without these positive feedbacks assumed by computer modelers, there would be no significant problem, and the various catastrophes that depend on numerous factors would no longer be related to anthropogenic global warming.

That is to say, the issue relevant to policy is far from settled. Nonetheless, the letter concludes: “Our academies will provide the scientific backdrop for the political and business leaders who must create effective policies to steer the world toward a low-carbon economy.” In other words, the answer is settled even if the science is not.
 Summing up - no positive feedback equals no problem!
However Lindzen warns although Climategate and subsequent scandals have discredited climate science the war is not won.
But it is unwise to assume that those who have carved out agendas to exploit the issue will simply let go without a battle. One can only hope that the climate alarmists will lose so that we can go back to dealing with real science and real environmental problems such as assuring clean air and water. The latter should be an appropriate goal for Earth Day.
So it is back to the barricades and, in the words of Tennyson , be " strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield".

1 comment:

  1. Thank you for bringing this to our attention Baron. An excellent article made even more topical by your brief, witty, but spot on editorial comment. Well done!

    Gold Coast, Queensland Australia