"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Julia's Honeymoon Shortest on Record- Shock Poll!

The latest phone poll by Morgan-7News has Gillard and Labor in trouble. It seems that the cynical ploy to remove Rudd has back-fired as more people see it for what it is.
Just five days into the job, Julia Gillard's honeymoon appears to be over, with the new Prime Minister scoring her first shock opinion poll.

An exclusive Morgan-7News poll shows Labor has gone backwards since Ms Gillard deposed Kevin Rudd from the leadership last Thursday.
The Coalition has an election-winning lead, climbing 4.5 points to 51.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.
Labor has dropped 4.5 points to 48.5 per cent.
The poll, taken over the weekend and yesterday, also puts Opposition Leader Tony Abbott back in front as preferred prime minister on 48 per cent to Julia Gillard's 40 per cent.
The primary vote has the Liberal/Nationals on 45.5 per cent (up 4.5 points), Labor on 38.5 per cent (down 2.5 points) and the Greens on 9 per cent (down 3.5 points).
Today, most punters were betting that Ms Gillard will take the country to an election sooner rather than later, making August 28 the favourite Saturday for a ballot.

Although phone polls are not as reliable as face-to-face polls there is no doubting there has been a big swing to the Coalition .
Morgan Poll Details
On June 25-28 2010, the four days immediately following Julia Gillard’s swearing in as Australia’s new Prime Minister, support for the L-NP is 51.5% (up 4.5% since the Face-to-Face Morgan Poll conducted June 19/20, 2010) ahead of the ALP 48.5%, (down 4.5%) according to this week’s special telephone Morgan Poll.

If a Federal Election were held today the L-NP would have won a close election to defeat the ALP according to the Morgan Poll.
The telephone Morgan Poll showed an L-NP primary vote of 45.5% (up 4.5% since the Face-to-Face Morgan Poll of June 19/20, 2010) well ahead of the ALP 38.5% (down 2.5%) with the Greens down 3.5% to 9%, Family First 1.5% (unchanged) and Independents/ Others up 1.5% to 5.5%.

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