"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Peer-reviewed sea level data suppression now questioned.

The NSW Government wants to know why peer-reviewed papers showing sea level rises of only 1mm per year were squashed by the Office of Environment. The agency ,set up by the previous Labor government said that
"historical trends of sea-level rise recorded by tide gauges do not necessarily provide a good indication of future sea levels because trends are expected to change with continued global warming". 
What a load of bollocks! I hope after this the Government puts the cleaners through the department if that is the best they can do! This promises to be very interesting.

NSW Environment Minister Robyn Parker has asked department officials to explain why they put the lid on internal research that questioned catastrophic predictions of sea-level rises as a result of climate change.
A former senior researcher in the department, Doug Lord, said yesterday two papers he co-authored with colleagues and was due to present at conferences were suppressed because they suggested sea-levels on the east coast are rising at only one 10th of the rate estimated by the federal government, based on data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Mr Lord said long-term data gleaned from gauges in Sydney Harbour suggested sea levels were rising at the rate of about 1mm per year. This would lead to a rise of about 90mm by 2100, not the 900mm rise predicted by the IPCC.
"We can't identify an acceleration of the rate, which doesn't mean that it's not there," Mr Lord told The Australian. "But if it's going to reach those levels, it's got to accelerate at some time in the future."
Mr Lord, who does not question the science of climate change, said the papers were pulled by the department at the last minute, after they had been accepted and peer-reviewed.
"It's very odd that they left that until the last minute and withdrew both papers at the latest possible opportunity," he said.
A spokeswoman for Ms Parker said the minister had "asked for a thorough explanation" and wanted more information.
In a statement, the Office of Environment and Heritage said it "fully supports the analysis of tide gauge records to estimate historical sea-level rise trends and the publication of these analyses for discussion and debate".
But the agency insisted "historical trends of sea-level rise recorded by tide gauges do not necessarily provide a good indication of future sea levels because trends are expected to change with continued global warming".
The agency said the papers were withdrawn over "concerns raised by an independent statistician about the statistical analysis of tide gauge records".

2 comments:

  1. During a 1966 visit to the island of Cyprus, I toured the ruins of the ancient city of Salamis. It had been an important trading port for centuries, until the harbor silted up during the 7th Century AD. That harbor is now high and dry, with a significant beach between it and the waters of the Mediterranean. Either the water level has receded in the last 1,300 years or the land has risen. My personal opinion is that the supposed sea level rise is rubbish.

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  2. The have all this "data" to show sea-level rise. But anybody who has been to a particular beach over the years, like Anonymous above reports, knows that it's just the same sea-level as it was before!

    What about all this supposed ice melt. Where's the commensurate, or any!, sea-level rise? Not there.

    "Data" reports that it's been getting hotter and hotter. Over the last decade certainly, go outside and it feels the same as years before, or colder. I get it. It's the data, and the computer models, that are correct. Leave the jacket at home.

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