"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

ABC reluctantly reports on slower global warming.

Auntie ABC , the taxpayer-funded unofficial organ of the green left has grudgingly reported on the Otto et al paper forecasting temperature rises in the range of .9 to 2 degrees Centigrade down from the 2 to 4.5 degrees range suggested by the "settled science" of the IPCC AR4. This paper is too late for the IPCC AR5 report which is sticking with the 4.5 degree doomsday scenario. Why the IPCC would refuse to accept the latest science which would more than halve their predictions is a mystery. Note the claim that the "current rate of warming has been lower over the last decade" which is a warmist's euphemism for cooling. Note also that a hundred years is now a "short-term range" for these precise predictions . Dr Otto however is obviously in some trouble with the Climate establishment when he attempts to describe a cut of more than 50% in predicted warming as a "slight adjustment". It is interesting that the lower rate of .9 degrees is only slightly more than the .7 degrees C predicted by Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT , a noted skeptic.

A new report says the planet may be warming slower in the short-term than had been previously projected.
The study published in the journal Nature Geoscience reveals that while the world has experienced its hottest decade since records began, the rate of average warming has been lower over the past decade.
By using modelling based on data from the past 10 years, the report says that after significant rises in the 1980s and 1990s, the most extreme projections are now looking less likely than before.
The lead author of the report, Dr Alexander Otto from Oxford University's Environmental Change Institute, estimates that in the coming decades, global average temperatures will warm about 20 per cent more slowly than expected.
"The shorter-term range, which is the rate of warming which we might expect over this century, might actually have to be adjusted down slightly," he said.

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