"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Thursday, May 30, 2013

French Ski Resort to open in June for the first time in history!

French ski station to re-open slopes, in June!
Global warming still falling in France

Dr David Viner 2000 in a quote he wished he had not made.
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
After a freezing European winter and a bitterly cold spring there seems to be no let up at the moment for Europe. One bright spot for ski enthusiasts is that summer skiing will be available on the slopes of the pyrenees. It is getting impossible for the global warming charade to continue much longer with some signs that a Little Ice Age is more probable. P Gosselin has the story:

Ice behaving badly


Sea ice around the globe is not behaving as alarmists have predicted as global temperatures drift 
downwards with total sea ice a half million square km above normal contrary to the impression one would get reading the daily newspaper. 

Arctic ice is at a ten year high for this time of year.

Antarctic sea ice is nearly 1 million square Km above normal.

Arctic temperatures are currently  below normal.



Silence of Labor lambs


Climate change has become a to-be-avoided-at-all-costs issue in the Labor campaign and has gone from the "greatest moral challenge" in 2007 to be completely unmentioned in the 2013 Labor budget.
Ex-treasurer Peter Costello in his inimitable style has the story about the dog that did not bark!

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Rush to spend green billions before election


The Clean Energy Finance Corporation is determined to waste as much money as it can before the September election when the incumbent PM Tony Abbott has promised to dissolve it. The corporation was set up to fund "green" projects the banks would not touch and is fancifully supposed to run at a profit .
These decisions will be in line with the current government's scorched earth policy which will leave the new government in a very difficult position.

THE Clean Energy Finance Corporation is planning to write up to $800 million in green loans before the election, defying the Coalition's call for the agency not to sign contracts before September 14 because Tony Abbott has vowed to scrap it.
The CEFC has revealed it is in "active discussions" with 50 projects seeking $2 billion and that an additional 119 project proponents have presented proposals that are seeking finance worth $3.3bn. The figures are contained in an email from the CEFC to the opposition pleading its case not to be scrapped if the Coalition wins the election.
The CEFC was established as part of the Gillard government's Clean Energy Future package to provide finance to clean energy projects that might not otherwise be able to raise funds through the commercial banking system. It receives an allocation of $2bn a year for five years which has been locked into the government's budget through legislation.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Uk scientists squirm.

met_office_apology
It is amazing that it took Doug Keenan , a crusading financial analyst in the UK to finally nail down the climate "scientists" advising the UK government to give a straight answer . The question put by Lord Donohue to was whether global warming since 1850 was statistically significant. Six times the question was put in the UK parliament and five times the answer was obfuscating spin about global warming without answering the question. However on the sixth time an answer was forthcoming. Global warming was not statistically significant. This is an incredible breakthrough and the post by Doug at Bishop Hill is attached below in full. Read on:

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

ABC reluctantly reports on slower global warming.

image
Auntie ABC , the taxpayer-funded unofficial organ of the green left has grudgingly reported on the Otto et al paper forecasting temperature rises in the range of .9 to 2 degrees Centigrade down from the 2 to 4.5 degrees range suggested by the "settled science" of the IPCC AR4. This paper is too late for the IPCC AR5 report which is sticking with the 4.5 degree doomsday scenario. Why the IPCC would refuse to accept the latest science which would more than halve their predictions is a mystery. Note the claim that the "current rate of warming has been lower over the last decade" which is a warmist's euphemism for cooling. Note also that a hundred years is now a "short-term range" for these precise predictions . Dr Otto however is obviously in some trouble with the Climate establishment when he attempts to describe a cut of more than 50% in predicted warming as a "slight adjustment". It is interesting that the lower rate of .9 degrees is only slightly more than the .7 degrees C predicted by Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT , a noted skeptic.

A new report says the planet may be warming slower in the short-term than had been previously projected.
The study published in the journal Nature Geoscience reveals that while the world has experienced its hottest decade since records began, the rate of average warming has been lower over the past decade.
By using modelling based on data from the past 10 years, the report says that after significant rises in the 1980s and 1990s, the most extreme projections are now looking less likely than before.
The lead author of the report, Dr Alexander Otto from Oxford University's Environmental Change Institute, estimates that in the coming decades, global average temperatures will warm about 20 per cent more slowly than expected.
"The shorter-term range, which is the rate of warming which we might expect over this century, might actually have to be adjusted down slightly," he said.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Alaskan Ice Record!



The Nenana Ice Classic which measures the melting of the Tanana river ice in Alaska has passed the old record of 11.42AM on May 20th. It is very hard to downplay the significance of this iconic event given the publicity given to Alaskan warming by the AGW catastrophists. It will be fascinating to see them squirm over this event.

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Hidden costs of solar panels


Research by the Electricity Supply Association has shown that the rip-off-your-neighbour solar scheme is costing those long-suffering neighbours over 1 billion dollars a year. As well as receiving a ridiculously high feed-in tariff for solar power, panel owners also avoid a large share of network costs.

SOLAR panels are costing those without them more than $1 billion a year.
New research by the Energy Supply Association of Australia reveals that the one million households with solar panels are avoiding network charges of $340 million a year - and rising.
The ESAA analysis has also found that "feed-in-tariff'' (FiT) schemes are adding $680 million a year.
In both instances, these costs are predominantly met by households that have not been able to afford to install solar.
Reflecting this, academics' research for AGL has argued that the rage in rooftop installations has delivered the greatest benefit to wealthier households - at the expense of the poorest.
While the flaws in many states' feed-in tariffs have become well-known, the ESAA says in a new discussion paper that the $340 million impost relating to avoided network charges is a "hidden cost''.
It is currently adding $30 a year to others' bills, but this could surge to $300 a year over the next decade.
"Because solar customers generate their own electricity when the sun shines, they take less from the grid. Under the current tariff setup, this means they pay a lot less, even though they may cost the network more than non-solar customers,'' the ESAA discussion paper says.
"Unless we find a fairer way to charge for our networks, households without solar will be paying even more in network charges in the years ahead.''
To support its argument the ESAA uses an example of a hypothetical household that installs a 4 kilowatt rooftop system. This household's network charge falls from $464 to $178 - a drop of 62 per cent.
But, the ESAA says, "the costs of providing the network are mostly the same or even more expensive as a result of rooftop solar energy''.
"To recover the real costs of operating the grid, network businesses adjust their charges so those without solar pay higher power bills.''

Alaskan ice nears all-time record with Nenana Ice Classic



The Nenana Ice Classic has been going for nearly 100 years and a lottery is run on the latest date that the ice breaks up - measured by a tripod sitting on the river ice. Currently the jackpot for the winner is over $300,000 and will be won by the closest estimate.
The all time record is 20th May 1964 at 11.41 AM and the earliest recorded break-up is 20th April in 1940 and 1998. This year is now in second position and close to the record. Alaska was the poster child of the global warming catastrophists a few years but you do not hear them mention it now.  The global warming edifice is crumbling rapidly with ice records being broken  in the global extremities of Antarctica and now Alaska giving climate "scientists" a huge problem in finding an explanation which twists the data enough to fit their failed theory.

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Save the Planet - Eat a Bug!

Bug salad
A UN report says that  eating insects could help boost nutrition and reduce greenhouse gases. Can you imagine the filet mignon-eating,champagne-swilling, first class flying UN fat-cat hypocrites tucking into a nutritious meal of creepy-crawlies? Marie Antoinette , if she was alive today would obviously say "let them eat bugs" while tucking into the finest French cuisine. Why does Australia still fund this useless organisation which is an obvious target for Tony Abbott's projected cost-cutting.

Wasps, beetles and other insects are currently "under-utilised" as food for people and livestock, the report says. Insect farming is "one of the many ways to address food and feed security".
"Insects are everywhere and they reproduce quickly, and they have high growth and feed conversion rates and a low environmental footprint," according to the report.
sourceProtein (g)Calcium (mg)Iron (mg)
SOURCE: MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY
28.2
n/a
35.5
20.6
35.2
5
17.2
30.9
7.7
Minced beef
27.4
n/a
3.5

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

More Flannery Foolishness

Tim Flannery
Tim Flannery's past predictions about Australia's climate have been a source of great mirth for skeptics and it is amazing that he was appointed to the plum Climate Commissioner's job after making such a goose of himself. However , given the current incompetent government's record I guess it is not so surprising
Flannery has now fallen for the Chinese two card trick of "watch the windmill over here while we build two coal fired stations over there". Poor old Tim is still watching the windmill !
The Chinese are very clever and manipulating and Tim is really no match and he has swallowed their story hook line and sinker as shown in his recent address.
 China was building a coal fire power plant every week or two. That's now stopped. What we're now seeing is a coal cap in place, so China has capped the amount of coal that they're going to be burning, pretty close to current levels and instead are expanding renewables very quickly. And if you look at just the year 2011-2012, which is the last year we've got data for, the amount of wind and solar capacity put into China equalled about a third of Australia's total electricity generation, so they really are taking a leadership position.
Tim really doesn't understand that actual wind and solar generation is very much less than nameplate capacity and their wind and solar is a negligible percentage of total generation.
The Chinese say they are going to implement an emissions trading scheme sometime in the future and some "trial" schemes are to be set up soon. Tim, when he stops watching the windmill will be directed to look at these as  proof that the Chinese are cooperating with the foolish Western governments on Global Warming. Anyone who thinks that the pragmatic Chinese are going to introduce a real economy damaging emission trading system after the EU carbon market has disintegrated has rocks in their head.
 The real story is shown in the actual Chinese electricity production .


The contribution of wind and solar is a minute percentage of total generation and will remain so for the foreseeable future as the Chinese economic juggernaut gathers more steam.


Monday, May 6, 2013

Twitter Censorship Down Under

A disturbing story has emerged of censorship of Twitter comments negative to the Government in Australia as reported in Polliter.com. It seems that Twitter is removing tweets at the request of Government officials although those tweets are still visible to those with US accounts.
Death-threats, censorship, filtering, honey traps and account tampering: Twitter is in the thick of an alleged scam to end political debate in Australia. Now, in a stunning admittance, key players forcing Twitter to censor political debate in Australia, have exposed themselves in an audacious display on, of all things, Twitter.
After weeks of canvassing Ministers, Government and Opposition MPs and a main-stream media that is less than interested, our on-line campaign to end Twitter censorship lead to one Independent MP to address the matter with the Government – and then being told by a Government Twitter agent how and what to ask to avoid getting the answer!
While anti-government tweets are being removed it seems any revolting political criticism on Twitter is OK if it involves Tony Abbott's family!    
This is very stark contrast to disgusting assaults by left-wing users who are, mysteriously, never censored or filtered by @TwitterAU. In one such example, twitter troll @AshGhebranious says “Easy! They will send Tony Abbott’s daughters to Indonesia to have sex with ministers till they allow coalition to tow back boats”. Even though this was immediately referred to @TwitterAU, no action was taken because @AshGhebranious is a renowned Labor staffer.

Huffington Hypocrisy on Hubris


A recent anti-carbon opus  Global Warming: Delusions, Hubris and Wishful Thinking in the Huffington Post caught my eye when following the usual alarmist clap-trap about the end of the world being nigh the UK is exhorted to embrace renewable energy as their savior.
So, where do we go from here? There is no viable option, it seems to me, but to embrace whole- heartedly the proven technology of the renewable energy route championed by the second camp.Britain (2010) meets only 3.2% of its total energy needs from renewable sources, and it is 24th out of 27 countries in the European Union. Sweden is top with 47.9%, and the EU average is 12.4%. The figure for Norway (2008), which is a non EU country, is 62%.
The leading lights in renewable energy in Europe are obviously Norway and Sweden who get most of their energy from hydro-electricity produced by a myriad of dams in both countries . However ,together with most green groups Huffpost has a long record of hysterical opposition to dam construction but apparently after they have been built and producing "green" energy they are OK. As usual in the warmist world hypocrisy abounds.