"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Friday, July 25, 2014

The end is not nigh!

Arctic ice is definitely not behaving according to the doomsday script of climate"scientists" with arctic ice at the highest level for this day in a decade.



What do the "scientists" do when they are horribly wrong -2007 prediction:                                                                   
Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss.
Summer melting this year reduced the ice cover to 4.13 million sq km, the smallest ever extent in modern times.
Remarkably, this stunning low point was not even incorporated into the model runs of Professor Maslowski and his team, which used data sets from 1979 to 2004 to constrain their future projections.
 In the end, it will just melt away quite suddenly 
Professor Peter Wadhams
"Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007," the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC.
"So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative."
After the arctic ice refuses to behave we have the new ,revised 2014 prediction 
paper by principal investigator Professor Wieslaw Maslowski in the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences sets out some of the findings so far of the research project:
"Given the estimated trend and the volume estimate for October–November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3, one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer. Regardless of high uncertainty associated with such an estimate, it does provide a lower bound of the time range for projections of seasonal sea ice cover."
You don't have to be a climate "scientist" or a fortune teller to guess what the 2016 version will say.              





1 comment:

  1. This might give them some brief distraction -
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/07/25/look-for-a-drop-in-arctic-sea-ice-over-the-next-few-days/

    ReplyDelete