"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Thought Police attack cartoonist!



Bill Leak, arguably Australia's best cartoonist has attracted the ire of offense seeking twits on social media with his biting comment on the Paris Climate boondoggle.
He has hit back in an excellent article in the Australian  :
I don’t know an associate professor of sociology at Macquarie University called Amanda Wise, but she knows me. She knows me so well, in fact, that she’s not only able to tell me what my cartoons mean, but she’s also able to tell me what I was thinking while I was drawing them.
There I was, naively thinking that if I drew a group of poor Indian people trying to eat solar panels contained in parcels sent to them by the UN anyone seeing the cartoon would assume it meant the people in it were hungry. But, no. What I thought I was thinking wasn’t what I was thinking at all. According to Ms Wise, my “unequivocally racist” cartoon drew on “very base stereotypes of third world, underdeveloped people who don’t know what to do with technology”.
These and other startling revelations were included in an article by Amanda Meade in The Guardian on Monday. As well as being sternly reminded by the shocked Ms Wise that my cartoon would be unacceptable in Britain, the US and Canada (heaven forbid!), I was also told my cartoon was “racist” by no less an authority than Yin Paradies of Deakin University, whose research includes the economic effects of racism.
Professor Paradies didn’t think I’d made the people in my cartoon look hungry, either, but rather, in my own twisted, racist way, I’d managed to portray not only them but the entire population of India as “too stupid to handle renewable energy”.
I’ve been reliably informed my cartoon also triggered a hostile response from the sanctimonious but bloodthirsty mob who spend their time trawling the internet looking for anything they find offensive to provide them with an opportunity to join the orgy of competitive compassion and moral grandstanding that is Twitter.
Such people, understandably, are probably on a bit of a high at the moment having just spent a couple of weeks watching heroic and revered climate scientists such as Leonardo DiCaprio, Sean Penn and Robert Redford spouting a series of hypocritical platitudes in Paris that culminated in world leaders signing up to an agreement to meet again in five years so they can sign another one, thereby saving the world from an impending environmental catastrophe. Again. No wonder they’re angry. First chance I get I spoil the party by reminding them that, back here, in the real world, there are billions of people who not only lack food, health, water and education, but also have no access to electricity, and more than 20 per cent of them live in India.
And there’s something obscene about the fact that there are billions of others who’ve had all those things all their coal-power-driven lives and they’re now distributing solar panels to the world’s poor because they think that provides a virtuous, if inadequate, form of electricity for which they should be grateful. I think that’s racist, I think it’s condescending, and I think it’s immoral. But it’s also the truth, and when an impertinent cartoonist dares to tell the truth these days he’d better watch out because telling the truth is a dangerously subversive thing to do.
It has the same ability to simultaneously shock some people while amusing others that four-letter words used to have when Lenny Bruce discovered he could use them to such devastating effect that his audiences would still be laughing while he was being dragged offstage by the police and arrested for obscenity.
In court, Bruce argued he was being denied his right to freedom of speech, and so he was. But I can’t help thinking he had it easy, living at a time when the only people who had to stand up for their rights to freedom of speech were comedians who wanted to say f. k in public.
And not only that, but the only people he had to worry about offending were undercover coppers in the audience whose job it was to be offended so they could arrest him for doing his job.
These days, the undercover policemen in the audience waiting for him to swear would be the least of his worries. They’d be outnumbered 100 to one by members of the Politically Correct Thought Police Task Force, all armed with iPhones and Twitter accounts, ready to pounce the moment he said something that might not necessarily offend them but could, potentially, offend someone else.
There’s no doubt the cartoon I drew for Monday’s paper offended a lot of people. While they might not have enjoyed looking at it, I’m quite sure they enjoyed using it as an excuse to parade their moral vanity.
And, while I prefer to discover there are people who think my cartoons are funny, I’d be lying if I said I didn’t derive a certain amount of pleasure from discovering they enrage the ones that don’t.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Hypocrite Alert

Untitled 3 copy
Mansion One of 5
From Powerline.
Absolutely shameless!
US Secretary of  State John Kerry who has  been travelling the world pushing poor people to reduce their carbon footprint has a problem deciding where to lie his tired head with  five mansions and a  luxury yacht from which to choose. When asked how the new global climate deal will be enforced he replied "Public shaming" without seeing the irony.

Cabin copy
Roughing it on Kerry's Yacht

Friday, November 20, 2015

Final Paris Data "adjustments"


With the Paris Climate boondoggle ready to start NASA has all it's ducks in a row with final data tampering completed. They have even managed to erase the "pause" which is accepted by scientists around the world. Real Science has the story:
2015-11-19-03-42-18
Somehow, they managed to calculate Earth’s temperature within 0.01 degrees – even though they had no temperature data for about half of the land surface, including none in Greenland and very little in Africa or Antarctica.
201510
This kind of mind-blowing malfeasance would get them fired and probably escorted out of the building by security at many engineering companies.
Satellites cover almost the entire planet several times a day, and they showed that October had only the 25th highest monthly anomaly, and that the first ten months of 1998 all had a higher anomaly than October 2015.
Not only do NASA and NOAA make up fake data for much of the planet, but they massively tamper with their existing data, like this station in Siberia where they have cooled the past nearly two degrees C since 2012 – and now claim that it is two degrees C above normal.
Zyrjanka2012-2015
The graph below shows the magnitude of their data tampering since 2012.
2015-11-19-04-16-48
By tampering with the station baseline, they created the large anomalies. Then they double down their fraud by smearing their bogus anomalies across 1200 km of missing data. This is needed to create their required fraudulent record temperature claims ahead of Paris.
nmaps

Monday, November 9, 2015

Celebrate Carbon dioxide - giver of life!

This address by Patrick Moore , founder and leader of Greenpeace for decades is a must read for anyone wanting to understand the real effect of CO2 in our lives . The feral activists that control Greenpeace now bear no resemblance to it's founder and have completely lost sight of the noble goals it once espoused.

Plant growth showing effect of increasing CO2

There is certainty beyond any doubt that CO2 is the building block for all life on Earth and that without its presence in the global atmosphere at a sufficient concentration this would be a dead planet. Yet today our children and our publics are taught that CO2 is a toxic pollutant that will destroy life and bring civilization to its knees. Tonight I hope to turn this dangerous human-caused propaganda on its head. Tonight I will demonstrate that human emissions of CO2 have already saved life on our planet from a very untimely end. That in the absence of our emitting some of the carbon back into the atmosphere from whence it came in the first place, most or perhaps all life on Earth would begin to die less than two million years from today.

Sunday, November 8, 2015

Arctic ice going gangbusters

Arctic ice area is currently at a ten year high much to the dismay of the climate doomsters who keep predicting it will disappear. This is not a good message for the scammers conference in Paris.


Meanwhile the "Arctic ice melting faster" false propaganda continues typified by a recent  Guardian  article complete with polar bear on an ice floe.
This year, full ice coverage – the point at which the ice reaches its peak an then starts melting – was reached on 25 February, more than two weeks before the expected date of Mmid-March.

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Arctic Fraud!

"What is making the Arctic ice melt faster than expected" is the question asked by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in an article complete with a picture of polar bears on an ice floe.



This is a particularly stupid question as anyone with a double digit IQ would research and know that the Arctic ice is currently staging a spectacular recovery and is at the highest extent in a decade. Obviously this would rule out climate "scientists".
 From Real Science:
 2015-10-25-06-50-58

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Arctic ice thickness is up 40% in the past 4 years!


Bpiomas_plot_daily_heff.2sst (12)


Bpiomas_plot_daily_heff.2sst.png (2488×1960)


Thursday, October 22, 2015

Coldest Winter in 50 Years? Trust the bookies , not climate "scientists"

Are we in for snowy winter?
The UK and much of Europe is battening down for what is predicted to be the coldest winter in 50 years  buried in what climate "scientists" call " a thing of the past".As we will have the largest global meeting of climate dimwits in Paris in the middle of this winter it will be interesting to hear how they blame the freeze on global warming. Bookies however who are risking their own money are banking on a white Christmas showing how much smarter they are than climate "scientists" who have their snouts into the Government trough.
Bookies have slashed the odds on a white Christmas after experts said that Britain could about to be hit by double winter whammy.
Yesterday warnings of a big freeze from the West led the bookies to cut the odds of snow on Christmas day from 5/1 to 2/1.
It comes a week after the early arrival of Berwick swans led nature experts to forecast an icy blast from the East causing the coldest winter for fifty years.
Scientists say temperatures in 1,500-mile wide stretch of the Atlantic Ocean reached an 80 year low between January to August this year, meahing colder than usual westerly winds.
They say the melting of the Greenland ice cap could have have slowed the Gulf Stream, which pushes warm currents towards Britain.
AccuWeather meteorologist Tyler Roys said: 'We'll see full-on cold spells.Northern England faces colder-than-normal periods, some of which could affect southern England, and Scotland is forecast a colder than normal winter."
He says minimum temperatures of -8C to -21C are possible.
The news comes a week after nature experts predicted that Britain is facing its longest winter in 50 years because of the earliest-ever arrival of a Siberian swan bringing heralding an unusual cold front from the East.
Normally the swawns migrate 2,500 miles from Arctic Russia to the Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust reserve at Slimbridge to escape the cold front.
 PS: It seems the Orwellian warmist crew have been at it again and Viner's statement that "snow will be a thing of the past" has been erased . However thanks to the internet ,here it is from an article in the Independent in 2000.
According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.

Monday, October 19, 2015

Hottest Year Ever - Update

Early snow and freeze in Europe is now followed in the US with early snow and icy temperatures in the mid-west and New England. Boston has coldest day on record on October 18. I thought that global warming  was supposed to cause winter to arrive later according to climate "scientists".

Fall meets Winter as a car, covered in a couple of inches of snow in Vermont, also gets a sprinkling of Fall leaves

From the Daily Mail

Winter comes early: NYC plummets to 43F and Boston has coldest October 18 on record as icy blast sends temperatures plunging across the North East and Midwest 

  • The cold front dropped temperatures into the 30s and below in some areas 
  • New Jersey was 15 degrees colder than expected this time of year in 40s
  • Boston recorded it coldest October 18 temperature ever at just 45 degrees
  • Marquette, Michigan, hit 27 degrees and about 2.5 inches of snow fell 
  • The last time the city had two inches or more in October was in 2001 
  • Weekend temperatures hit freezing or below in cities around US like Minneapolis, Chicago, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Hartford and Pittsburgh


 

Thursday, October 15, 2015

September Record Claims


The Sydney Morning Herald headlines that September global temperatures have set a new record high which feeds into the alarmist propaganda buildup for the Paris climate meeting in December.
However as usual the truth is somewhat different. The accurate RSS satellite temperature record shows that September was the 4th highest for the satellite data which is not unexpected with the strong El Nino effect.

Meanwhile the pause continues with the globe actually cooling over the last decade contrary to claims by alarmists.

RSS Satellite Temperatures

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Swans smarter than climate birdbrains

The first Bewick's swan of the year has arrived at the Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust reserve at Slimbridge, Glos
Bewick swans migrate 2500 miles at the start of winter from Siberia to the UK and this weeks arrival is the earliest in 50 years. This migration is a week earlier than 2010 which saw a horrific winter in the UK and if the swans are right 2015 could be a repeat. Meanwhile mindless flocks of climate "scientists" will be migrating to Paris this winter because of imagined warming . It is no contest which is the smarter.
The Telegraph has the story:
Britain is facing its longest winter in 50 years after the earliest-ever arrival of a Siberian swan which traditionally heralds the start of the season.
Each year around 300 Bewick's swans migrate 2,500 miles from Arctic Russia to escape the approaching cold weather which follows closely behind them.
They flock to the Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust reserve at Slimbridge, Glos, where their arrival has been recorded since 1963.
The first bird arrived on Sunday - a full 25 days earlier than last year and the earliest date on record.
It coincided with the first frosts of the autumn in the area and experts say its early return could be a sign of a long, hard winter ahead.
The premature arrival of winter in many European countries has encouraged Bewick's swans to flock westwards earlier than usual.
Temperatures are currently five to 10 degrees below average in parts of western Russia and eastern Europe and are expected to drop to the minus 30s.
Spurred on by bitter north easterly winds, many of the swans are currently gathering in the Netherlands, with 45 on Lake Gooimeer and 80 on Lake Lauwersmeer.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Early Frost and snow in Europe in the "warmest year ever "

Romania
Early snow in Romania
Early frost and snow in Europe may bring shivers to organisers of the Paris Climate Scamfest if December brings a repeat of previous extreme European winters.
NoTricksZone has the story:
This is in stark contradiction to the earlier projections of snow would be a thing of the past. WetterOnline here also reports of snow in Romania with photos. Again this only reinforces the trend that Europe has been cooling over the past 2 decades.

The cold is expected to intensify over the next few days with surface frost spreading widely across much of Central Europe.

 

Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Ideology Uber Alles

"Scientists" have been monitoring the effects of global warming on spring leaf growth in Germany and were surprised by the results. They would be better off using science rather than Lysenkoism as a basis for their research.


The above temperature graph shows February temperatures in  Germany which are getting cooler!
Visually impaired Frederick could see that you can not measure effects of warming in a cooling trend.
No Tricks Zone has the story translated from the German.

So why is leaf unfolding not happening as early as expected? The authors here appear to be baffled and thus are left speculating and offering adventurous explanations. Maybe they ought just take a look at the temperature trends for spring and winter in Europe. If they did so, they would find that winters and early springtime have gotten COLDER over the past couple of decades, and not warmer as the authors seem to believe.
Back in early April I posted on this here. Winters have not been warming and spring has been in fact delayed. Spring flowers have also been found to be blossoming later.
Austrian and German winters have also gotten COLDER over the past 25 years .
Moreover the European Alps have gotten “considerably colder” over the last 26 years. It’s truly stunning that the authors seemingly never bothered to look at the temperature trends.


Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Australia goes over to the dark side

Real Untampered Satellite Data 

BOM- Homogenised and Pasteurised to remove all traces of Cooling Contamination

After two refreshing  years with a  sceptic Prime Minister Australia is sliding into the Warmist camp following the election of Malcolm Turnbull. There will be no more investigations of data tampering at the BOM and I hate to see what we are going to agree to in Paris .
Jennifer Mahorasy has a fine article in the Australian which is reproduced in full here.
For the true believer, it is too awful to even consider that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology could be exaggerating global warming by adjusting figures. This doesn’t mean, though, that it’s not true.
In fact, under prime minister Tony Abbott, a panel of eminent statisticians was formed to investigate these claims detailed in The Australian newspaper in August and September last year.
The panel did acknowledge in its first report that the bureau homogenised the temperature data: that it adjusted figures. The same report also concluded it was unclear whether these adjustments resulted in an overall increase or decrease in the warming trend.
No conclusions could be drawn because the panel did not work through a single example of homogenisation, not even for Rutherglen. Rutherglen, in north­eastern Victoria, is an agricultural research station with a continuous minimum temperature record unaffected by equipment changes or documented site moves but where the bureau nevertheless adjusted the temperatures.
This had the effect of turning a temperature time series without a statistically significant trend into global warming of almost 2C a century.
According to media reports last week, a thorough investigation of the bureau’s methodology was prevented because of intervention by Environment Minister Greg Hunt. He apparently argued in cabinet that the credibility of the institution was paramount — that it was important the public had trust in the bureau’s data and forecasts, so the public knew to heed warnings of bushfires and ­cyclones.
Hunt defends the bureau because it has a critical role to play in providing the community with reliable weather forecasts.
This is indeed one of its core responsibilities. It would be better able to perform this function, however, if it used proper techniques for quality control of temperature data and the best available techniques for forecasting rainfall.
There has been no improvement in its seasonal rainfall forecasts for two decades because it uses general circulation models. These are primarily tools for demonstrating global warming, with dubious, if any, skill at actually forecasting weather or climate.
Consider, for example, the millennium drought and the flooding rains that followed in 2010.
Back in 2007 and 2008, David Jones, then and still the manager of climate monitoring and prediction at the Bureau of Meteorology, wrote that climate change was so rampant in Australia, “We don’t need meteorological data to see it”, and that the drought, caused by climate change, was a sign of the “hot and dry future” that we all collectively faced.
Then the drought broke, as usual in Australia, with flooding rains.
But the bureau was incapable of forecasting an exceptionally wet summer because such an event was contrary to how senior management at the bureau perceived our climate future.
So, despite warning signs evident in sea surface temperature patterns across the Pacific through 2010, Brisbane’s Wivenhoe dam, originally built for flood mitigation, was allowed to fill through the spring of 2010, and kept full in advance of the torrential rains in January 2011.
The resulting catastrophic flooding of Brisbane is now recognised as a “dam release flood”, and the subject of a class-action lawsuit by Brisbane residents against the Queensland government.
Indeed, despite an increasing investment in supercomputers, there is ample evidence ideology is trumping rational decision-making at the bureau on key issues that really matter, such as the prediction of drought and flood cycles. Because most journalists and politicians desperately want to believe the bureau knows best, they turn away from the truth and ignore the facts.
News Corp Australia journalist Anthony Sharwood got it completely wrong in his weekend article defending the bureau’s homogenisation of the temperature record. I tried to explain to him on the phone last Thursday how the bureau didn’t actually do what it said when it homogenised temperature time series for places such as Rutherglen.
Sharwood kept coming back to the issue of “motivations”. He kept asking me why on earth the bureau would want to mislead the Australian public.
I should have kept with the methodology, but I suggested he read what Jones had to say in the Climategate emails. Instead of considering the content of the emails that I mentioned, however, Sharwood wrote in his article that, “Climategate was blown out of proportion” and “independent investigations cleared the researchers of any form of wrongdoing”.
Nevertheless, the content of the Climategate emails includes quite a lot about homogenisation, and the scientists’ motivations. For example, there is an email thread in which Phil Jones (University of East Anglia) and Tom Wigley (University of Adelaide) discuss the need to get rid of a blip in global temperatures around 1940-44. Specifically, Wigley suggested they reduce ocean temperatures by an arbitrary 0.15C. These are exactly the types of arbitrary adjustments made throughout the historical temperature record for Australia: adjustments made independently of any of the purported acceptable reasons for making adjustments, including site moves and equipment changes.
Sharwood incorrectly wrote in his article: “Most weather stations have moved to cooler areas (ie, areas away from the urban heat island effect). So if scientists are trying to make the data reflect warmer temperatures, they’re even dumber than the sceptics think.”
In fact, many (not most) weather stations have moved from post offices to airports, which have hotter, not cooler, daytime temperatures. Furthermore, the urban heat island creeps into the official temperature record for Australia not because of site moves but because the record at places such as Cape Otway lighthouse is adjusted to make it similar to the record in built-up areas such as Melbourne, which clearly are affected by the urban heat island.
I know this sounds absurd. It is absurd, and it is also true. Indeed, a core problem with the methodology the bureau uses is its reliance on “comparative sites” to make adjustments to data at other places. I detail the Cape Otway lighthouse example in a recent paper published in the journal Atmospheric Research, volume 166.
It is so obvious that there is an urgent need for a proper, thorough and independent review of operations at the bureau. But it would appear our politicians and many mainstream media are set against the idea.
Evidently they are too conventional in their thinking to consider such an important Australian ­institution could now be ruled by ideology.
Jennifer Marohasy is a senior fellow at the Institute of Public Affairs


Monday, September 28, 2015

Hottest Year in the US? NOAA is not broadcasting their accurate data showing cooling!

The USCRN network was set up in the US to provide an accurate temperature record which requires almost no adjustment. Unfortunately for the global warming catastrophists the results show cooling over the last 10 years which is not the news required for the doom-and-gloom December meeting in Paris. They are definitely not interested in accurate data.
The U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) is a system of climate observing stations developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The USCRN's primary goal is to provide long-term temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture and temperature observations that are of high quality and are taken in stable settings.
Data from the USCRN are used in a variety of climate monitoring and research activities that include placing current climate anomalies into an historical perspective. The USCRN provides the United States with a reference network that meets the requirements of the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). The network consists of 114 commissioned stations in the contiguous United States, 16 stations in Alaska (with a plan to eventually have a total of 29), and 2 stations in Hawaii.
The USCRN Program Manager is Howard Diamond. The program is managed and coordinated by the National Centers for Environmental Information, a component of NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS).





When we compare this with the RSS satellite temperatures for the US for the same period we get an almost identical graph confirming the accuracy of the RSS data. The RSS data is also showing cooling. Note the RSS data is in Celsius but can't be compared in magnitude as it is measuring the lower troposphere .

Windmills instead of food



David Cameron says that the UK will spend more that 5 billion pounds on climate change in poor countries but the amount will be deducted from the UK's foreign aid budget. How blessed will the starving peasants feel when their brand new wind turbine arrives instead of a ship load of food.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

His Mouldiness the Dope


This man , elected by a bunch of geriatrics in Rome fancies himself as a world politician and science expert as he traipses around the world in his Dopemobile. He is in good company when in the US he joins with the Moron-in-Chief to promote the global warming scam and other liberal causes.
Pope Francis has built up a liberal fan club with his encyclical against global warming, the recognition of Palestinian statehood and an attack on unfettered capitalism (“the dung of the devil”).
The Pope should be concentrating on his own back yard where up to 5% of his priests are involved in child abuse and children are not safe in the church. "Suffer the little children to come unto me" takes on a whole new meaning with his lot.
Meanwhile the Catholic Church he heads , with its billions in wealth ,sees no need to distribute it's amassed riches among the world's poorest as the money-changers that Christ chased from the temple are back in force still running around in funny medieval costumes . Makes one wonder where the "dung of the devil" really reside!

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Pants on Fire

We all knew it was coming but it is still astounding that the climate "scientists" at NOAA could be so blatant in lying about global temperatures in the lead-up to the Climate conference in December. With much of Eastern Australia having the coldest July in decades according to the BOM NOAA reports it as "much above average". Andrew Bolt has the story:
image

There is something very odd about the NOAA claim of a very hot July, thanks to global warming:
Take the NOAA map above. Check Australia, said to have had average or above-average temperatures over much of the continent, apart from the much-warmer-than-average bits around Sydney and parts of Western Australia.
Liberal MP Craig Kelly is curious:

HOW DOES THE COLDEST MONTH IN 20 YEARS BECOME THE HOTTEST MONTH “EVER’’ ?
July in Melbourne was widely reported as the ”Coldest July in 20 years
It also was reported at the start of August that Sydney had just “notched its longest cold spell in 26 years” and it was also “the coolest July for the city since 2002”
Even our Bureau of Meteorology reported; ”Temperatures were below average across Sydney during July
However, have close look at the below map produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) an Obama Government agency (the same people that assert that July 2015 was the hottest month ever).
NOAA assert that temperatures in Melbourne for July 2015 were “Warmer than Average” and for Sydney they were “Much warmer than average”.
Can anyone explain this ?
Or take Adelaide, which the NOAA map claims had average temperatures.
Bureau of Meteorology Senior Forecaster Mark Anolack said ... “July certainly was cooler than average… Generally around Adelaide we have about 15.3 degrees (Celsius) as an average maximum temperature.
“This year, it was a little bit cooler with 14.6 degrees, and that was actually our coldest July since July 1997.”
Brisbane was said by NOAA to be about average. In fact:
Brisbane‘s average monthly maximum in July was 18.1, considerably cooler than the usual 18.9.
NOAA says Perth had a well-above-average temperatures for July. In fact, our Bureau of Meteorology says it was not quite that warm:
Perth was slightly above average with an average maximum of 18.7 as against the usual 18.4
Why is the NOAA map for Australia running so very warm?
UPDATE
Reader Ian notes that NOAA’s map of temperatures for July is very different to the cool one from our own Bureau of Meterology:
image
(Thanks to reader Andrew.)

Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Climate Maths for Dummies


We have become used to climate scientists modifying data to give a desired answer and it is no surprise Australian climate guru Will Steffen puts his own slant on poll results by simply discarding many of the opposing votes.
Nick Cater of the Australian has the story:
Climate scientist Will Steffen has found a solution for what he calls the “increasingly toxic, partisan, adversarial atmosphere” bedevilling civic debate.
He was galvanised by an opinion poll published in The Canberra Times that found ACT residents were going cold on the proposal to build a tramline in the federal capital.
When the ACT government surveyed taxpayers 10 months ago 55 per cent thought it was a good idea. Now, according to a Reachtel poll of 1446 territory residents, support has fallen to lest than 39 per cent while more than 46 per cent oppose it.
Steffen smelled a rat. How could anyone fail to see the benefit of investing the best part of a billion bucks in a 12km light rail line from Civic to Gungahlin, wherever Gungahlin might be?
Why would Canberrans not wave their hats at the prospect of travelling down Northbourne Avenue at a thrilling 30km an hour, a speed only marginally slower than George Stephenson’s Rocket?
Steffen and co-author Barbara Norman spotted the outlier.
“Only 15.8 per cent of intending Liberal voters support light rail,” Steffen and Norman wrote in The Canberra Times last Thursday, “while for all other groups (Labor, Greens, Others and Undecided) support for light rail varied between 42 per cent and 63.5 per cent.
“That anomalously low level of support among Liberal voters immediately caught our attention and prompted us to reanalyse the poll results.”
The “strong skew” of Liberal-leaning respondents, claimed Steffen, “can easily generate a misleading impression of what the poll numbers are actually showing”. Steffen and Norman’s solution was to remove 446 Liberal voters from the result.
The result of this “reanalysis”, claim the authors, is that 51.9 per cent support light rail, 3.2 per cent oppose and 14.9 per cent are undecid­ed.
There is no explanation of what became of the other 30 per cent but clearly they don’t count.
Write Steffen and Norman: “For the more than two-thirds of Canberrans who are not intending to vote for the Liberals, there is very strong support for light rail, a nearly 20 per cent lead over those who oppose it.”
So that’s settled, then. Everyone agrees a tram to nowhere underwritten by the taxpayers in the most car-friendly capital in the country is a wonderful idea. Everyone, that is, except those dolts who vote Liberal who don’t really count.
Why stop there? Why not apply the Steffen method to the 2013 election? After all, it works in Belarus where President Alexander Lukashenko was re-elected with 79.6 per cent of the vote at the 2010 election, and appears to be in little hurry to organise another one.
This insight into Steffen’s methodology may cause us to look afresh at his startling claims about climate change and his forecasts for the end of the world as we know it.

Bill Gates- Green power costs "beyond astronomical"

Ugly,expensive and ineffectual.

Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft and world's wealthiest man speaks out against the "green power"
juggernaut which is wasting the world's scarce resources in trying to achieve an impossible goal.
He says that new technologies are the answer and money should be diverted to R&D not today's unworkable technologies. From the Register:
Retired software kingpin and richest man in the world Bill Gates has given his opinion that today's renewable-energy technologies aren't a viable solution for reducing CO2 levels, and governments should divert their green subsidies into R&D aimed at better answers.
Gates expressed his views in an interview given to the Financial Times yesterday, saying that the cost of using current renewables such as solar panels and windfarms to produce all or most power would be "beyond astronomical". At present very little power comes from renewables: in the UK just 5.2 per cent, the majority of which is dubiously-green biofuel burning1 rather than renewable 'leccy - and even so, energy bills have surged and will surge further as a result.
In Bill Gates' view, the answer is for governments to divert the massive sums of money which are currently funnelled to renewables owners to R&D instead. This would offer a chance of developing low-carbon technologies which actually can keep the lights on in the real world.
“The only way you can get to the very positive scenario is by great innovation,” he told the pink 'un. “Innovation really does bend the curve.”
Gates says he'll personally put his money where his mouth is. He's apparently invested $1bn of his own cash in low-carbon energy R&D already, and “over the next five years, there’s a good chance that will double,” he said.
The ex-software overlord stated that the Guardian's scheme of everyone refusing to invest in oil and gas companies would have "little impact". He also poured scorn on another notion oft-touted as a way of making renewable energy more feasible, that of using batteries to store intermittent supplies from solar or wind.
“There’s no battery technology that’s even close to allowing us to take all of our energy from renewables," he said, pointing out - as we've noted on these pages before - that it's necessary "to deal not only with the 24-hour cycle but also with long periods of time where it’s cloudy and you don’t have sun or you don’t have wind."

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Another Little Ice Age coming - Global warming continues say climate "scientists"

If the return of a little ice age cannot convince climate "scientists" of their error then they are morons.

Last time Britain faced these temperatures elephants walked on the Thames.




Chris Laker of BT has the story:

Britain braced for mini-ice age as temperatures are set to drop to a 300-year low
Low temperatures not seen for 300 years could be on the way to Britain thanks to a drop in solar activity, experts have warned.





If you were enjoying the current warm spell, enjoy it while it lasts as forecasters have warned that the UK could enter a mini-ice age.

A Met Office-led study in conjunction with scientists at the Universities of Oxford, Cambridge and Reading, found that a return to low solar activity not seen for centuries could increase the chances of cold winters in Europe and eastern parts of the United States.
But the study, which was published in the Nature Communications journal, added that the freeze will not be enough to halt global warming.

Sarah Ineson, a Met Office scientist and lead author of the study said: "This research shows that the regional impacts of a grand solar minimum are likely to be larger than the global effect, but it's still nowhere near big enough to override the expected global warming trend due to man-made change.

"This means that even if we were to see a return to levels of solar activity not seen since the Maunder Minimum, our winters would likely still be getting milder overall."

It is understood that the sun's output increases and decreases, measured by the number of sunspots on the star's surface, over a timescale of 100 to 200 years.

Some solar physicists believe there's an increased risk that we're heading towards the lower end of this cycle - last seen during the so-called Maunder Minimum which ended 300 years ago.

This coincided with colder winters in the UK and Europe, with 'frost fairs' taking place on a frozen River Thames in London.

Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Dark days of Catholicism return

Countless millions died in the Spanish Inquisition and other historical religious persecutions in the name of the Holy Roman Church. The current Pope is following in the footsteps of his predecessors in supporting failed ideological policies that will kill many of the most vulnerable in our society. Cheap energy is vital for the elderly and poor and ridiculous climate policies are causing prices to skyrocket without any discernible effect on temperatures. The Energy & Environment Legal Institute has released a video in a plea to the Pope to reconsider.

Saturday, June 6, 2015

Double back flip with pike

Climate "scientists" are able to perform mental and logical gymnastics to keep their scam alive and some gold medal performances are being seen following the release of the shonky hiatus-killing paper by NASA/NOAA.
A medal should definitely go to  Mark Maslin, a climatology professor at University College London, who said “a whole cottage industry has been built by climate sceptics on the false premise that there is currently a hiatus in global warming”. “This is despite climate data showing continued warming of the Earth surface,” he said.
Mark omits to tell us that the hiatus in global warming is observed by that well-known subversive sceptical body called the IPCC  in the AR5 reports which says:
"In summary, the observed recent warming hiatus, defined as the reduction in GMST trend during 1998–2012 as compared to the trend during 1951–2012, is attributable in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in external forcing (expert judgment, medium confidence). The forcing trend reduction is primarily due to a negative forcing trend from both volcanic eruptions and the downward phase of the solar cycle. However, there is low confidence in quantifying the role of forcing trend in causing the hiatus, because of uncertainty in the magnitude of the volcanic forcing trend and low confidence in the aerosol forcing trend."

No mention of a false premise there , just good old "Settled Science".

Friday, June 5, 2015

One of the World's Greatest Physicists on CO2



Freeman Dyson ,one of the giants of 20th century science is interviewed - a great contrast to the mental pygmies calling themselves "climate scientists" who infest the airwaves today. This rare interview is worth watching.
Freeman John Dyson FRS (born 15 December 1923) is an English-born American [5][6] theoretical physicist and mathematician, known for his work in quantum electrodynamicssolid-state physicsastronomy and nuclear engineering. Dyson is a member of the Board of Sponsors of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.[7]

Global Warming Pause conveniently erased - ready for Paris


NOAA has published a paper by climate "scientists" purporting in one fell swoop to erase the 20 year global warming "pause" shown by all four major global temperature datasets. Professor Judith Curry is underwhelmed by the publication as are many other reputable scientists in the field. It does not matter whether this paper is BS as it will be splashed across the media and used extensively by Obanana in the run-up to the Paris gab-fest. After December - who cares?
From the  paper:
Abstract: Much study has been devoted to the possible causes of an apparent decrease in the upward trend of global surface temperatures since 1998, a phenomenon that has been dubbed the global warming “hiatus.” Here we present an updated global surface temperature analysis that reveals that global trends are higher than reported by the IPCC, especially in recent decades, and that the central estimate for the rate of warming during the first 15 years of the 21st century is at least as great as the last half of the 20th century. These results do not support the notion of a “slowdown” in the increase of global surface temperature.
Judith comments:
The greatest changes in the new NOAA surface temperature analysis is to the ocean temperatures since 1998.  This seems rather ironic, since this is the period where there is the greatest coverage of data with the highest quality of measurements – satellites don’t show a warming trend.  Nevertheless, the NOAA team finds a substantial increase in the ocean surface temperature anomaly trend since 1998.

I am also unconvinced by NOAA’s gap filling in the Arctic, and in my opinion this introduces substantial error into their analysis.  I addressed the issue of gap filling in the Arctic in this recent publication:  Curry JA, 2014:  Climate science:  Uncertain temperature trends. Nature Geoscience, 7, 83-84.

Like blowflies around bad meat the warmist media is already swarming.
 http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/04/global-warming-hasnt-paused-study-finds
http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2015/06/04/global-warming-climate-change-hiatus/28479937/
http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/there-no-global-warming-hiatus-after-all-180955501/?no-ist
The headline for the Smithsonian says it all stating as fact :
There Is No Global Warming Hiatus After All